The New York Times had a neat piece recently on the fact that Pittsburgh’s death rate exceeds its birth rate.

“What demographers call a natural decrease has been occurring for years in tiny rural towns and in some retirement meccas in the South,” the Times writes. “But the phenomenon is relatively new in metropolitan areas in the Northeast, the Rust Belt of the Middle West and Appalachia.”

Looking at the graphic that accompanies the story, Erie is still bucking that trend.

But I wonder whether Erie will be able to stay that way.

Those 75 years old and older made up 7.2 percent of Erie’s population in 2000, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Those under the age of 5 made up 6.2 percent of the population.